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07 May 2023 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.0%
Konyaspor
34.2%
Draw
21.8%
Kayserispor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.35

Konyaspor

vs
0.90

Kayserispor

Markets

BTTS47.3%
Over 0.586.3%
Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.539.1%
Over 3.519.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.0%
0-0
13.7%
1-0
11.0%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
4.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-1
3.9%
3-2
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).