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08 Nov 2025 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.7%
Karpaty
26.3%
Draw
47.0%
Kryvbas

Expected Goals (xG)

1.08

Karpaty

vs
1.52

Kryvbas

Markets

BTTS52.1%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.526.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.5%
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.3%
0-2
8.6%
0-0
7.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
4.7%
0-3
4.3%
2-0
4.3%
2-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).