Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →81.4%
Monaco
10.9%
Draw
7.6%
Bordeaux
Expected Goals (xG)
3.29
Monaco
vs
0.98
Bordeaux
Markets
BTTS60.1%
Over 0.598.7%
Over 1.592.5%
Over 2.579.8%
Over 3.561.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
8.3%
3-1
8.1%
2-0
7.6%
2-1
7.4%
4-0
6.8%
4-1
6.7%
1-0
4.7%
5-0
4.5%
1-1
4.4%
5-1
4.4%
3-2
4.0%
2-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).