Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.5%
Niort
24.9%
Draw
51.6%
Lens
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Niort
vs
1.43
Lens
Markets
BTTS42.8%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.519.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.5%
1-1
11.4%
0-2
10.4%
1-0
9.7%
0-0
9.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
5.3%
0-3
5.0%
1-3
4.3%
2-2
3.8%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).