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06 Apr 2022 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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20.0%
West Brom
27.9%
Draw
52.1%
Bournemouth

Expected Goals (xG)

0.85

West Brom

vs
1.52

Bournemouth

Markets

BTTS45.8%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.542.4%
Over 3.521.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.2%
1-1
13.1%
0-2
10.8%
0-0
10.3%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
6.9%
0-3
5.5%
2-1
5.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-2
3.9%
2-0
3.4%
0-4
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).