⚽ FootballData
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HHT: 31CSV

14 May 2016

Inter

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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12.3%
Sassuolo
17.8%
Draw
69.9%
Inter

Expected Goals (xG)

0.82

Sassuolo

vs
2.25

Inter

Markets

BTTS49.9%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.559.2%
Over 3.536.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
11.7%
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.6%
0-3
8.8%
1-1
8.4%
1-3
7.2%
0-4
5.0%
0-0
4.5%
1-4
4.1%
2-2
4.0%
1-0
4.0%
2-1
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).