Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.5%
Sp Gijon
28.8%
Draw
42.7%
Las Palmas
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Sp Gijon
vs
1.22
Las Palmas
Markets
BTTS42.8%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.563.4%
Over 2.536.6%
Over 3.517.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.2%
1-1
13.1%
0-0
11.4%
1-0
11.0%
0-2
8.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
6.2%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
3.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).