Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.7%
Genoa
27.7%
Draw
18.6%
Pisa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Genoa
vs
0.83
Pisa
Markets
BTTS45.8%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.543.0%
Over 3.522.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.1%
1-1
13.0%
2-0
11.2%
0-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
6.4%
3-0
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
3.8%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).