Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.4%
Leganes
26.8%
Draw
50.7%
Ath Madrid
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Leganes
vs
1.48
Ath Madrid
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.542.5%
Over 3.521.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.5%
1-1
12.6%
0-2
10.2%
0-0
9.5%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
8.0%
2-1
5.5%
0-3
5.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-2
4.1%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).