Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.2%
Harrogate
28.7%
Draw
34.1%
Crawley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Harrogate
vs
1.02
Crawley Town
Markets
BTTS41.8%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.561.7%
Over 2.535.3%
Over 3.516.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.8%
0-1
13.0%
1-1
12.9%
0-0
11.6%
2-1
7.3%
2-0
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-1
2.6%
3-0
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).