Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.1%
Northampton
26.6%
Draw
55.3%
Wrexham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.61
Northampton
vs
1.34
Wrexham
Markets
BTTS32.9%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.557.1%
Over 2.531.0%
Over 3.513.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
20.0%
0-0
13.2%
0-2
12.7%
1-1
10.7%
1-0
9.7%
1-2
7.8%
0-3
5.7%
2-1
3.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-0
2.7%
2-2
2.4%
0-4
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).