Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →7.3%
Montpellier
11.9%
Draw
80.8%
Marseille
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
Montpellier
vs
2.93
Marseille
Markets
BTTS51.6%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.588.5%
Over 2.571.9%
Over 3.551.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
10.4%
0-3
10.1%
1-2
8.2%
1-3
8.0%
0-4
7.4%
0-1
7.2%
1-4
5.9%
1-1
5.5%
0-5
4.4%
1-5
3.5%
2-2
3.3%
2-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).