Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.8%
Virtus Entella
31.6%
Draw
32.6%
Ternana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Virtus Entella
vs
1.08
Ternana
Markets
BTTS46.2%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.566.3%
Over 2.538.2%
Over 3.518.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
12.2%
1-0
11.1%
0-1
10.4%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
2.9%
3-0
2.7%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).