Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.7%
Exeter
27.4%
Draw
40.9%
Charlton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Exeter
vs
1.15
Charlton
Markets
BTTS41.1%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.561.2%
Over 2.535.4%
Over 3.516.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.0%
1-0
12.8%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
11.0%
0-2
7.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
3.7%
0-3
3.0%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).