Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.5%
Pau FC
24.1%
Draw
29.5%
Ajaccio
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Pau FC
vs
1.10
Ajaccio
Markets
BTTS50.4%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.525.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.2%
1-1
11.4%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
2-0
8.2%
1-2
6.8%
0-0
6.7%
2-2
5.0%
0-2
4.7%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
4.0%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).