Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.9%
Milan
27.6%
Draw
18.5%
Lazio
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Milan
vs
0.67
Lazio
Markets
BTTS36.2%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.560.2%
Over 2.533.3%
Over 3.515.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.0%
0-0
12.8%
2-0
12.2%
1-1
11.7%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
4.0%
3-1
3.7%
0-2
2.9%
2-2
2.7%
4-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).