Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.2%
Auxerre
20.9%
Draw
17.9%
Sochaux
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
Auxerre
vs
0.84
Sochaux
Markets
BTTS46.7%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.527.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.6%
2-0
11.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
7.0%
0-1
6.8%
0-0
6.2%
3-1
5.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
4.1%
4-0
3.2%
4-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).