Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.9%
Chertsey Town
18.0%
Draw
42.1%
Sutton
Expected Goals (xG)
2.50
Chertsey Town
vs
2.56
Sutton
Markets
BTTS84.6%
Over 0.599.5%
Over 1.596.0%
Over 2.588.1%
Over 3.574.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-2
6.5%
2-3
5.5%
3-2
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-3
4.6%
1-3
4.4%
3-1
4.2%
1-1
3.9%
2-4
3.6%
4-2
3.4%
3-4
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).