Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.4%
Bristol City
22.4%
Draw
11.2%
Sheffield Wednesday
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
Bristol City
vs
0.66
Sheffield Wednesday
Markets
BTTS42.0%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.525.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.0%
1-0
13.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-0
8.9%
0-0
8.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-0
4.3%
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-2
3.0%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).