Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.1%
Monza
17.8%
Draw
7.1%
Reggiana
Expected Goals (xG)
2.27
Monza
vs
0.58
Reggiana
Markets
BTTS40.3%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.532.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.9%
1-0
12.4%
3-0
11.3%
2-1
8.6%
1-1
8.4%
3-1
6.5%
0-0
6.5%
4-0
6.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-0
2.9%
0-1
2.6%
2-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).