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HHT: 11CSV

13 Jan 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.4%
Arbroath
31.2%
Draw
28.5%
Queens Park

Expected Goals (xG)

1.18

Arbroath

vs
0.95

Queens Park

Markets

BTTS43.4%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.563.8%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.516.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.2%
1-0
13.1%
0-0
12.7%
0-1
10.4%
2-0
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-0
3.3%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).