Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.0%
Lechia Gdańsk
24.1%
Draw
19.9%
Wisła Płock
Expected Goals (xG)
1.89
Lechia Gdańsk
vs
1.05
Wisła Płock
Markets
BTTS56.1%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.556.3%
Over 3.533.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.4%
1-0
9.1%
3-1
6.2%
0-0
6.2%
3-0
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-2
5.2%
0-1
4.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).