Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.5%
Estoril
17.3%
Draw
13.2%
Estrela
Expected Goals (xG)
2.66
Estoril
vs
1.12
Estrela
Markets
BTTS63.2%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.589.6%
Over 2.572.8%
Over 3.552.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.0%
1-1
7.3%
3-0
7.1%
1-0
5.5%
4-1
5.3%
2-2
5.1%
4-0
4.7%
3-2
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
4-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).