Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.7%
Tottenham
20.0%
Draw
10.3%
Southampton
Expected Goals (xG)
2.27
Tottenham
vs
0.79
Southampton
Markets
BTTS50.2%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.582.2%
Over 2.559.1%
Over 3.536.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
9.4%
3-0
9.1%
3-1
7.2%
0-0
5.8%
4-0
5.2%
4-1
4.1%
2-2
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).