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20 Apr 2021 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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58.0%
Guingamp
20.0%
Draw
22.0%
Chambly

Expected Goals (xG)

1.99

Guingamp

vs
1.13

Chambly

Markets

BTTS57.7%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.560.3%
Over 3.537.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.5%
0-1
5.8%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-2
3.7%
0-0
3.6%
4-1
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).