Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.6%
Hanwell Town
18.8%
Draw
14.6%
Chertsey Town
Expected Goals (xG)
2.14
Hanwell Town
vs
0.88
Chertsey Town
Markets
BTTS51.3%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.580.1%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.535.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
8.9%
3-0
8.0%
3-1
7.0%
0-0
4.6%
0-1
4.6%
2-2
4.3%
4-0
4.3%
1-2
4.0%
4-1
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).