Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.4%
Harrogate
25.5%
Draw
50.2%
Salford
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Harrogate
vs
1.46
Salford
Markets
BTTS45.6%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.542.4%
Over 3.521.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.1%
1-1
11.9%
0-2
9.9%
1-0
9.1%
1-2
9.1%
0-0
8.7%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
4.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-2
4.2%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).