Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.6%
Bradford
24.3%
Draw
20.1%
Burton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Bradford
vs
0.76
Burton
Markets
BTTS40.2%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.564.8%
Over 2.539.1%
Over 3.519.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.7%
2-0
11.7%
1-1
10.9%
0-0
9.5%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.9%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
4.5%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
3.4%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).