Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.9%
Gil Vicente
20.9%
Draw
10.2%
Tondela
Expected Goals (xG)
1.77
Gil Vicente
vs
0.50
Tondela
Markets
BTTS32.0%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.519.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.8%
2-0
16.3%
0-0
10.0%
3-0
9.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-0
4.2%
1-2
2.3%
4-1
2.1%
2-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).