Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.3%
Virtus Entella
28.9%
Draw
43.8%
Catanzaro
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Virtus Entella
vs
1.43
Catanzaro
Markets
BTTS51.5%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.524.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
0-1
10.4%
0-0
9.4%
1-2
9.0%
0-2
8.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.8%
2-2
4.9%
2-0
4.7%
1-3
4.3%
0-3
4.0%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).