Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.1%
Ajaccio
26.1%
Draw
24.8%
Niort
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Ajaccio
vs
0.85
Niort
Markets
BTTS41.0%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.563.0%
Over 2.537.2%
Over 3.517.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.1%
1-1
11.7%
0-1
10.6%
0-0
10.3%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.1%
3-1
3.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-2
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).