Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.0%
Famalicao
24.5%
Draw
12.5%
Estrela
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73
Famalicao
vs
0.64
Estrela
Markets
BTTS39.7%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.542.3%
Over 3.521.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.4%
2-0
14.0%
1-1
11.1%
0-0
10.1%
2-1
9.0%
3-0
8.1%
0-1
5.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-0
3.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-2
2.9%
4-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).