Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.8%
Angers
30.3%
Draw
41.9%
Lille
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Angers
vs
1.11
Lille
Markets
BTTS37.6%
Over 0.586.0%
Over 1.557.5%
Over 2.530.8%
Over 3.513.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.2%
0-0
14.0%
1-1
12.9%
1-0
12.4%
0-2
8.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
5.6%
2-0
5.0%
0-3
3.2%
2-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).