Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.4%
Auxerre
17.4%
Draw
10.2%
Laval
Expected Goals (xG)
2.04
Auxerre
vs
0.59
Laval
Markets
BTTS37.9%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.527.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.4%
2-0
15.0%
3-0
10.2%
2-1
8.8%
1-1
7.9%
0-0
6.5%
3-1
6.0%
4-0
5.2%
0-1
4.9%
4-1
3.1%
2-2
2.6%
1-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).