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DHT: 00CSV

30 Mar 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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20.8%
Wigan
31.8%
Draw
47.3%
Brentford

Expected Goals (xG)

0.72

Wigan

vs
1.22

Brentford

Markets

BTTS37.1%
Over 0.584.8%
Over 1.558.8%
Over 2.530.8%
Over 3.513.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.6%
0-0
15.2%
1-1
13.5%
0-2
10.7%
1-0
9.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
4.5%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
3.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-2
2.8%
0-4
1.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).