Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.0%
Swindon
23.2%
Draw
34.7%
Milton Keynes Dons
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Swindon
vs
1.43
Milton Keynes Dons
Markets
BTTS60.1%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.558.2%
Over 3.535.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
2-1
8.8%
1-0
8.2%
1-2
7.9%
0-1
7.4%
2-2
6.3%
2-0
6.2%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.7%
0-0
4.4%
1-3
3.8%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).