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AHT: 00CSV

27 Aug 2022 · 18:00

Rodez

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.1%
Bastia
28.0%
Draw
43.0%
Rodez

Expected Goals (xG)

0.88

Bastia

vs
1.15

Rodez

Markets

BTTS39.1%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.559.3%
Over 2.533.3%
Over 3.515.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.1%
1-0
12.6%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
12.0%
0-2
8.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
5.9%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
3.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).