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17 Mar 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.2%
Sheffield United
30.3%
Draw
39.5%
Nott'm Forest

Expected Goals (xG)

1.06

Sheffield United

vs
1.25

Nott'm Forest

Markets

BTTS47.8%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.540.7%
Over 3.520.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.3%
0-1
11.3%
0-0
11.0%
1-0
9.4%
1-2
8.2%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
0-3
3.2%
3-1
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).