Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.6%
Exeter
30.7%
Draw
29.7%
Stevenage
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Exeter
vs
0.85
Stevenage
Markets
BTTS36.1%
Over 0.585.3%
Over 1.555.4%
Over 2.529.0%
Over 3.512.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.4%
0-0
14.7%
0-1
13.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-0
8.1%
2-1
6.9%
1-2
5.6%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-0
2.8%
3-1
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).