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HHT: 01CSV

24 Apr 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.0%
Shrewsbury
22.2%
Draw
52.8%
Peterboro

Expected Goals (xG)

1.07

Shrewsbury

vs
1.69

Peterboro

Markets

BTTS52.7%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.552.2%
Over 3.530.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
11.6%
1-1
10.5%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
9.0%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.1%
1-3
5.5%
0-0
5.3%
2-2
5.2%
0-3
5.1%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).