Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.3%
Plymouth
30.0%
Draw
30.7%
Macclesfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Plymouth
vs
0.90
Macclesfield
Markets
BTTS38.3%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.557.9%
Over 2.531.4%
Over 3.513.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.4%
0-0
13.5%
0-1
13.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-0
7.9%
2-1
7.1%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-0
2.8%
3-1
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).