Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.0%
Niort
22.2%
Draw
59.8%
Troyes
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
Niort
vs
1.67
Troyes
Markets
BTTS42.9%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.4%
0-2
12.1%
1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
7.7%
1-0
7.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-1
4.3%
2-2
3.6%
0-4
2.8%
2-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).