Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.2%
Wolves
23.1%
Draw
64.7%
Manchester City
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
Wolves
vs
1.99
Manchester City
Markets
BTTS47.7%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.552.2%
Over 3.530.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.5%
0-1
11.2%
1-1
11.0%
1-2
9.7%
0-3
8.3%
0-0
7.6%
1-3
6.4%
0-4
4.2%
2-1
3.7%
2-2
3.7%
1-0
3.5%
1-4
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).