Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.2%
Ulm
22.1%
Draw
59.7%
Hamburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Ulm
vs
2.13
Hamburg
Markets
BTTS60.1%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.584.4%
Over 2.563.0%
Over 3.540.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
8.8%
0-1
7.4%
1-3
7.0%
0-3
6.3%
2-2
5.5%
2-1
5.2%
0-0
4.8%
2-3
3.9%
1-4
3.7%
1-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).