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AHT: 02CSV

17 Mar 2024 · 12:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.5%
Oxford City
25.7%
Draw
51.8%
Halifax

Expected Goals (xG)

1.07

Oxford City

vs
1.72

Halifax

Markets

BTTS54.8%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.552.8%
Over 3.530.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.2%
1-2
9.7%
0-1
9.7%
0-2
9.1%
0-0
7.1%
2-1
6.0%
1-0
5.6%
1-3
5.6%
0-3
5.2%
2-2
5.2%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).