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27 Oct 2020 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.5%
Dover Athletic
26.5%
Draw
40.9%
Eastleigh

Expected Goals (xG)

1.36

Dover Athletic

vs
1.55

Eastleigh

Markets

BTTS59.5%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.533.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.8%
0-1
7.5%
0-2
6.5%
1-0
6.5%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
6.0%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
4.6%
3-1
3.5%
0-3
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).