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HHT: 11CSV

20 Jan 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.2%
Xanthi
34.5%
Draw
36.3%
Atromitos

Expected Goals (xG)

0.87

Xanthi

vs
1.00

Atromitos

Markets

BTTS38.1%
Over 0.583.4%
Over 1.557.1%
Over 2.528.9%
Over 3.512.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
16.6%
1-1
14.7%
0-1
14.2%
1-0
12.1%
0-2
7.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-1
5.8%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
2.9%
0-3
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
3-1
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).