Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.3%
Carrarese
31.0%
Draw
25.7%
Sampdoria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Carrarese
vs
0.93
Sampdoria
Markets
BTTS45.0%
Over 0.587.7%
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.518.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
1-0
12.8%
0-0
12.3%
2-0
9.0%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
4.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-0
3.8%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).