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17 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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18.7%
Little Oakley
26.8%
Draw
54.5%
Berkhamsted Town

Expected Goals (xG)

0.69

Little Oakley

vs
1.40

Berkhamsted Town

Markets

BTTS37.1%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.561.3%
Over 2.534.7%
Over 3.515.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
17.7%
0-2
12.1%
0-0
12.0%
1-1
11.6%
1-0
8.9%
1-2
8.4%
0-3
5.7%
2-1
4.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-0
2.9%
2-2
2.9%
0-4
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).