Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.9%
Celta
25.8%
Draw
20.3%
Ath Bilbao
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Celta
vs
0.88
Ath Bilbao
Markets
BTTS47.2%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.523.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.0%
1-1
12.2%
2-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
8.8%
0-1
7.0%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.2%
3-1
5.0%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).